| venue | CIN | TB | line | as of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | 63.5c | 36.5c | ask 64.0c | 11:08Z |
| Pinnacle ↗ | 64.3c▼0.3 | 35.7c▲0.3 | -195 / +173 | 11:08Z |
| DK · ESPN ↗ | 63.7c | 36.3c | -198 / +164 | 11:08Z |
| Bovada ↗ | 65.1c | 34.9c | -210 / +175 | 18:56Z |
P(CIN wins) over time, by venue
At first pitch: 87°F, wind 6 mph from the W (gusts 12), 0% chance of precipitation.
| hour (UTC) | temp | wind | gusts | precip | humidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | 80°F | 6 mph WSW | 11 | 0% | 73% |
| 16:00 | 83°F | 4 mph WSW | 9 | 0% | 63% |
| 17:00game | 87°F | 6 mph W | 12 | 0% | 48% |
| 18:00game | 89°F | 8 mph WNW | 12 | 0% | 43% |
| 19:00game | 90°F | 9 mph W | 14 | 1% | 43% |
| 20:00game | 90°F | 9 mph W | 14 | 1% | 43% |
| 21:00game | 89°F | 10 mph WNW | 13 |
One row per priced side at each venue's main line. Exchange spreads come from Polymarket's spread markets; book prices are de-vigged within the pair.
| venue | side | line | prob | odds | as of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | CIN | -4 | 48.8c | -100 | 11:08Z |
| TB | +4 | 51.2c | -110 | 11:08Z | |
| DK · ESPN ↗ | CIN | -3.5 | 50.4c | -112 | 11:08Z |
| TB | +3.5 | 49.6c | -108 | 11:08Z | |
| Bovada ↗ | CIN | -3.5 | 51.1c | -115 | 18:56Z |
Each venue's main total — the line trading closest to a coin flip. The chart tracks the line itself moving (e.g. 8.5 → 9), which is where game-level information shows up first.
| venue | side | line | prob | odds | as of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | over | 50 | 50.5c | -108 | 11:08Z |
| under | 50 | 49.5c | -104 | 11:08Z | |
| DK · ESPN ↗ | over | 50.5 | 49.6c | -108 | 11:08Z |
| under | 50.5 | 50.4c | -112 | 11:08Z | |
| Bovada ↗ | over | 50 | 50.0c | -110 | 18:56Z |
| 2% |
| 45% |
| 22:00 | 87°F | 10 mph WNW | 15 | 3% | 46% |
| 23:00 | 85°F | 9 mph NW | 15 | 3% | 53% |
Hourly forecast, refreshed with the capture cron — weather data by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).
| TB |
| +3.5 |
| 48.9c |
| -105 |
| 18:56Z |
CIN line (points) over time, by venue
| under |
| 50 |
| 50.0c |
| -110 |
| 18:56Z |
Total (points) over time, by venue
