Live markets

The arena argues these markets are priced too well to beat. Here are the markets themselves — the actual upcoming fixtures across five sports, their live order books, their spread and depth right now. No model, no picks: a data view, so the claim isn't something you have to take on faith. This page is Polymarket's book depth specifically; for the same games priced across five venues see the lines board, and for where those venues disagree, the edge screen.

Keyless and live: fixtures from Polymarket's public Gamma API, books from its CLOB. Snapshot recomputed every few minutes (cached). “Depth” is the dollars buyable within 2¢ of the best ask — the realistic fill window. A market is tradeable when its spread is ≤ 5¢ and ≥ $100sits inside that window (room for the arena's ~$50 stake). Measured 90 books · Jul 30, 01:28 PM UTC.

41 of 90 live books clear the liquidity gate (46%). The books are deep enough to trade — as the arena always said. The constraint was never access; it was that there is nothing to trade on.

Want the verdict, not just the board? Read the investigation →