Every upcoming Soccer fixture on Polymarket and every forecastable market on it — the whole board, no per-fixture cap. Keyless, live, cached a few minutes. A market is tradeable when its spread is ≤ 5¢ and ≥ $100 sits within 2¢ of the ask.
MoneylineDraw (NSI Runavik vs. Vikingur Gota)Yes 25¢No 76¢
MoneylineNSI RunavikYes 55¢No 46¢
$3.9k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
NSI Runavik vs. Vikingur Gota - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:15 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 97¢No 5¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 85¢No 18¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 63¢No 39¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 12¢No 92¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 39¢
07 Vestur Sorvagur vs. KI Klaksvik
Sep 13, 04:15 PM UTC
Moneyline07 Vestur SorvagurYes 5¢No 96¢
MoneylineDraw (07 Vestur Sorvagur vs. KI Klaksvik)Yes 12¢No 90¢
MoneylineKI KlaksvikYes 85¢No 16¢
$990 within 2¢3/3 tradeable
07 Vestur Sorvagur vs. KI Klaksvik - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:15 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 98¢No 4¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 88¢No 15¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 70¢No 33¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 15¢No 89¢
TotalsO/U 3.5
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club
Sep 13, 04:20 PM UTC
MoneylineNEOM SCYes 60¢No 41¢
MoneylineAl Fateh Saudi ClubYes 19¢No 82¢
MoneylineDraw (NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club)Yes 23¢No 78¢
$44.0k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:20 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 96¢No 5¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 81¢No 20¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 59¢No 42¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 9¢No 92¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 36¢
FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
MoneylineDraw (FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti)Yes 19¢No 82¢
MoneylineFK Akron TolyattiYes 12¢No 89¢
MoneylineFK KrasnodarYes 71¢No 30¢
$12.0k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 96¢No 6¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 83¢No 20¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 61¢No 41¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 38¢No 65¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 21¢
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
MoneylineGetafe CFYes 37¢No 64¢
MoneylineDraw (Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña)Yes 34¢No 67¢
MoneylineRC Deportivo A CoruñaYes 30¢No 71¢
$188.2k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 88¢No 13¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 7¢No 94¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 18¢No 84¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 64¢No 37¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 2¢
RCD Mallorca vs. CE Sabadell FC
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
MoneylineRCD MallorcaYes 52¢No 49¢
MoneylineDraw (RCD Mallorca vs. CE Sabadell FC)Yes 30¢No 71¢
MoneylineCE Sabadell FCYes 20¢No 81¢
$64.0k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
RCD Mallorca vs. CE Sabadell FC - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 90¢No 11¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 39¢No 62¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 66¢No 35¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 19¢No 82¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 8¢
SV Zulte Waregem vs. Royal Charleroi SC
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
MoneylineSV Zulte WaregemYes 34¢No 67¢
MoneylineRoyal Charleroi SCYes 37¢No 64¢
MoneylineDraw (SV Zulte Waregem vs. Royal Charleroi SC)Yes 29¢No 72¢
$19.4k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
SV Zulte Waregem vs. Royal Charleroi SC - More Markets
Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 94¢No 8¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 77¢No 25¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 51¢No 50¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 14¢No 87¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 29¢
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. MŠK Žilina
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineŠK Slovan BratislavaYes 63¢No 39¢
MoneylineMŠK ŽilinaYes 18¢No 83¢
MoneylineDraw (ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. MŠK Žilina)Yes 21¢No 80¢
$18.5k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. MŠK Žilina - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 97¢No 4¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 86¢No 15¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 67¢No 34¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 45¢No 57¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 25¢
Washington Spirit vs. Boston Legacy FC
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineWashington SpiritYes 59¢No 42¢
MoneylineDraw (Washington Spirit vs. Boston Legacy FC)Yes 23¢No 78¢
MoneylineBoston Legacy FCYes 19¢No 82¢
$3.9k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Washington Spirit vs. Boston Legacy FC - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 84¢No 19¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 63¢No 40¢
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 97¢No 7¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 38¢No 63¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 21¢
CSD Mixco vs. Aurora FC
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineCSD MixcoYes 65¢No 36¢
MoneylineAurora FCYes 16¢No 87¢
MoneylineDraw (CSD Mixco vs. Aurora FC)Yes 22¢No 80¢
$1.0k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
CSD Mixco vs. Aurora FC - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 95¢No 7¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 81¢No 26¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 56¢No 48¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 32¢No 71¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 20¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineGalatasaray SKYes 77¢No 24¢
MoneylineDraw (Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor)Yes 16¢No 85¢
MoneylineKocaelisporYes 9¢No 92¢
$80.7k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineAmed SportifYes 39¢No 62¢
MoneylineDraw (Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK)Yes 28¢No 73¢
MoneylineRams Başakşehir FKYes 35¢No 66¢
$35.1k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Amed Sportif vs. Rams Başakşehir FK - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 95¢No 6¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 79¢No 22¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 56¢No 45¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 34¢No 67¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 17¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 97¢No 4¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 84¢No 17¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 61¢No 40¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 39¢No 62¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 21¢
FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineFC AroucaYes 37¢No 64¢
MoneylineDraw (FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara)Yes 32¢No 69¢
MoneylineCD Santa ClaraYes 33¢No 68¢
$46.6k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
MoneylineDraw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC)Yes 10¢No 91¢
MoneylineSport Lisboa e BenficaYes 87¢No 14¢
MoneylineGil Vicente FCYes 4¢No 96¢
$73.9k within 2¢3/3 tradeable
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 97¢No 3¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 88¢No 13¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 71¢No 30¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 49¢No 52¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 28¢
FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara - More Markets
Sep 13, 05:00 PM UTC
TotalsO/U 0.5Yes 91¢No 10¢
TotalsO/U 3.5Yes 22¢No 79¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 43¢No 58¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 10¢No 91¢
TotalsO/U 1.5Yes 70¢
Historical — the resolved-market record
Every resolved Soccermarket the favorite-longshot backtest could reconstruct point-in-time from Polymarket's price history: 4,270 markets across 308 fixtures. The question is whether the market itself is mispriced — buy every favorite and win. It isn't, and you don't.
Calibration — is the price the probability?
Each bucket: what the market charged, versus how often it actually happened. The gap averages 1.18c — the price is the probability.
market price
n
actually won
gap
0.044
1,149
0.029
−0.015
0.148
629
0.143
−0.005
0.246
636
0.222
−0.025
0.397
730
0.400
+0.003
0.590
555
0.584
−0.006
0.770
240
0.804
+0.034
Everything here is generated from public market data and provided for information only. It is not betting advice, not a recommendation to wager, and not a claim that any edge exists. Live prices move; the snapshot is minutes old by the time you read it.
No 62¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 22¢No 80¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 62¢No 40¢
SpreadNSI Runavik (-1.5)Yes 34¢No 69¢
SpreadVikingur Gota (-1.5)Yes 10¢No 92¢
SpreadNSI Runavik (-2.5)Yes 17¢No 86¢
SpreadVikingur Gota (-2.5)Yes 4¢No 99¢
$8.1k within 2¢8/11 tradeable
Yes 46¢
No 56¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 28¢No 76¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 44¢No 59¢
Spread07 Vestur Sorvagur (-1.5)Yes 2¢No 99¢
SpreadKI Klaksvik (-1.5)Yes 65¢No 37¢
Spread07 Vestur Sorvagur (-2.5)Yes 1¢No 100¢
SpreadKI Klaksvik (-2.5)Yes 42¢No 60¢
$6.0k within 2¢6/11 tradeable
No 65¢
TotalsO/U 4.5Yes 19¢No 82¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 57¢No 44¢
SpreadNEOM SC (-1.5)Yes 34¢No 67¢
SpreadAl Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Yes 7¢No 94¢
SpreadNEOM SC (-2.5)Yes 17¢No 84¢
SpreadAl Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Yes 2¢No 99¢
$60.5k within 2¢10/11 tradeable
No 82¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 11¢No 96¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 53¢No 51¢
SpreadFK Akron Tolyatti (-2.5)Yes 49¢No —
SpreadFK Krasnodar (-1.5)Yes 46¢No 56¢
SpreadFK Akron Tolyatti (-1.5)Yes 98¢No 99¢
SpreadFK Krasnodar (-2.5)Yes 25¢No 77¢
$25.0k within 2¢7/11 tradeable
No 98¢
TotalsO/U 2.5Yes 36¢No 65¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 47¢No 54¢
SpreadRC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5)Yes 11¢No 90¢
SpreadGetafe CF (-1.5)Yes 14¢No 87¢
SpreadGetafe CF (-2.5)Yes 4¢No 96¢
SpreadRC Deportivo A Coruña (-2.5)Yes 3¢No 97¢
$168.5k within 2¢11/11 tradeable
No 93¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 3¢No 98¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 45¢No 56¢
SpreadRCD Mallorca (-1.5)Yes 25¢No 76¢
SpreadCE Sabadell FC (-1.5)Yes 6¢No 95¢
SpreadCE Sabadell FC (-2.5)Yes 2¢No 99¢
SpreadRCD Mallorca (-2.5)Yes 10¢No 91¢
$70.8k within 2¢10/11 tradeable
No 72¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 6¢No 95¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 58¢No 43¢
SpreadSV Zulte Waregem (-1.5)Yes 16¢No 86¢
SpreadRoyal Charleroi SC (-1.5)Yes 17¢No 84¢
SpreadSV Zulte Waregem (-2.5)Yes 6¢No 96¢
SpreadRoyal Charleroi SC (-2.5)Yes 7¢No 95¢
$52.5k within 2¢11/11 tradeable
No 76¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 14¢No 89¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 62¢No 40¢
SpreadŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)Yes 40¢No 61¢
SpreadMŠK Žilina (-1.5)Yes 7¢No 94¢
SpreadŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)Yes 23¢No 79¢
SpreadMŠK Žilina (-2.5)Yes 2¢No 98¢
$49.6k within 2¢9/11 tradeable
No 81¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 10¢No 92¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 61¢No 41¢
SpreadWashington Spirit (-1.5)Yes 36¢No 66¢
SpreadBoston Legacy FC (-1.5)Yes 8¢No 94¢
SpreadWashington Spirit (-2.5)Yes 18¢No 85¢
SpreadBoston Legacy FC (-2.5)Yes 9¢No 99¢
$8.8k within 2¢8/11 tradeable
No 89¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 11¢No 98¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 52¢No 53¢
SpreadCSD Mixco (-1.5)Yes 41¢No 62¢
SpreadAurora FC (-1.5)Yes 41¢No 99¢
SpreadAurora FC (-2.5)Yes 47¢No 99¢
SpreadCSD Mixco (-2.5)Yes 25¢No 83¢
$2.4k within 2¢4/11 tradeable
No 84¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 8¢No 93¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 62¢No 39¢
SpreadAmed Sportif (-1.5)Yes 19¢No 83¢
SpreadAmed Sportif (-2.5)Yes 7¢No 94¢
SpreadRams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Yes 16¢No 86¢
SpreadRams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)Yes 6¢No 95¢
$66.1k within 2¢11/11 tradeable
No 80¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 10¢No 91¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 45¢No 56¢
SpreadGalatasaray SK (-1.5)Yes 55¢No 46¢
SpreadKocaelispor (-1.5)Yes 2¢No 99¢
SpreadGalatasaray SK (-2.5)Yes 32¢No 69¢
SpreadKocaelispor (-2.5)Yes 1¢No 100¢
$127.5k within 2¢10/11 tradeable
No 73¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 15¢No 86¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 41¢No 60¢
SpreadSport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Yes 69¢No 32¢
SpreadGil Vicente FC (-1.5)Yes 1¢No 100¢
SpreadSport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Yes 47¢No 54¢
SpreadGil Vicente FC (-2.5)Yes 0¢No 100¢
$224.4k within 2¢10/11 tradeable
No 31¢
TotalsO/U 5.5Yes 3¢No 97¢
Both teams to scoreBoth Teams to ScoreYes 52¢No 49¢
SpreadFC Arouca (-1.5)Yes 16¢No 86¢
SpreadCD Santa Clara (-1.5)Yes 14¢No 88¢
SpreadCD Santa Clara (-2.5)Yes 4¢No 96¢
SpreadFC Arouca (-2.5)Yes 5¢No 95¢
$31.5k within 2¢10/11 tradeable
0.925
331
0.924
−0.001
Back the favorite — the one rumoured edge
Buy every favorite priced ≥ 70c, net of ~2c cost, significance clustered by fixture. In Soccer moneylines it comes to +5.70c per $1 (t = 1.36) — across all market types, −0.64c (t = 0.82). Null after cost — no free structural edge here either.
market type
bets
fixtures
net edge
t (clustered)
Moneyline
36
36
+5.70c
1.36
Totals
530
288
−1.26c
0.44
Both teams to score
—
—
—
—
Spread
—
—
—
—
All types
571
290
−0.64c
0.82
“—” means fewer than 8 favorites of that type — too thin to test. A real edge would need net > 0 andt > ~2.5 in a type that isn't just near-certain totals, and would have to survive out-of-sample.
