MLB · Relief Pitcher · Chicago White Sox
6' 3", 225 lbs · age 32 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
ERA
WHIP
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 0.0680 | 181 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CHW | 4 | 1 | 3.7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17.18 | 3.00 |
| 2025 | CHW | 46 | 5 | 51.0 | 40 | 22 | 24 | 49 | 3.88 | 1.25 |
| Strikeout | 23.3% | 24.2% | 22.8% | 0.0000 | 86 |
|---|
| Single | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 0.1162 | 467 |
|---|
| Double | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 0.0542 | 1332 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0036 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.0507 | 549 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .289 | .293 | .313 | 0.2928 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | pitcher | 210 | .289 | .293 | 102 |
| 2024 | pitcher | 38 | .325 | .301 | 99 |
| 2024 |
| PHI |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 8.3 |
| 10 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 3.24 |
| 1.44 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
