MLB · Relief Pitcher · New York Yankees
6' 2", 205 lbs · age 29 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
ERA
WHIP
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 0.0665 | 162 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NYY | 41 | 0 | 37.0 | 37 | 20 | 15 | 35 | 4.86 | 1.41 |
| 2025 | NYY | 69 | 0 | 65.3 | 51 | 26 | 35 | 72 | 3.58 | 1.32 |
| Strikeout | 21.3% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 83 |
|---|
| Single | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 0.1247 | 510 |
|---|
| Double | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0507 | 1194 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0051 | 4400 |
|---|
| Home run | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.0599 | 647 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .320 | .307 | .315 | 0.3068 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | pitcher | 164 | .320 | .307 | 99 |
| 2025 | pitcher | 276 | .283 | .301 | 99 |
| 2024 | pitcher | 267 | .325 | .312 | 96 |
| 2024 |
| SF |
| 62 |
| 0 |
| 59.0 |
| 54 |
| 32 |
| 39 |
| 78 |
| 4.88 |
| 1.58 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
