MLB · Second Baseman · Los Angeles Angels
5' 11", 200 lbs · age 26 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
Batting average
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.0513 | 137 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LAA | 90 | 271 | 27 | 65 | 7 | 24 | 11 | 86 | .240 |
| 2025 | LAA | 106 | 241 | 23 | 40 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 79 | .166 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAA | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 216.00 | 21.00 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
| Strikeout | 29.8% | 28.3% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 50 |
|---|
| Single | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 0.1304 | 246 |
|---|
| Double | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0512 | 3972 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0067 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.0526 | 232 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .284 | .292 | .303 | 0.2922 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | batter | 289 | .284 | .292 | 96 |
| 2025 | batter | 264 | .212 | .266 | 89 |
| 2024 |
| NYY |
| 4 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| .200 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
