MLB · Second Baseman · San Francisco Giants
6' 2", 214 lbs · age 28 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 0.0601 | 136 |
| Strikeout | 29.5% | 27.9% | 22.8% | 0.0000 | 50 |
| Single | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 0.1217 | 264 |
| Double | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0525 | 3226 |
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | batter | 237 | .267 | .283 | 95 |
| 2024 | batter | 341 | .354 | .323 | 109 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| 2025 | SF | 72 | 217 | 19 | 47 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 70 | .217 |
| Triple |
|---|
| 0.4% |
| 0.3% |
| 0.3% |
| 0.0052 |
| 383 |
| Home run | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.0439 | 179 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .267 | .283 | .296 | 0.2833 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| 2024 |
| SF |
| 96 |
| 314 |
| 53 |
| 88 |
| 15 |
| 34 |
| 22 |
| 108 |
| .280 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
