MLB · Catcher · Chicago White Sox
6' 0", 225 lbs · age 28 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 0.0650 | 136 |
| Strikeout | 17.9% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 0.0000 | 50 |
| Single | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 0.1223 | 264 |
| Double | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 0.0531 | 3226 |
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | batter | 39 | .331 | .299 | 100 |
| 2024 | batter | 394 | .255 | .275 | 92 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CHW | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 |
| 2025 | CHW | 26 | 35 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | .257 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CHW | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
| Triple |
|---|
| 0.0% |
| 0.3% |
| 0.3% |
| 0.0041 |
| 383 |
| Home run | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.0543 | 179 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .331 | .299 | .296 | 0.2987 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| 2024 |
| CHW |
| 125 |
| 377 |
| 36 |
| 79 |
| 12 |
| 37 |
| 17 |
| 122 |
| .210 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
