MLB · Catcher · Milwaukee Brewers
6' 2", 251 lbs · age 33 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
Batting average
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 20.0% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 0.1150 | 137 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MIL | 57 | 147 | 26 | 32 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 33 | .218 |
| 2025 | BAL | 30 | 91 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 27 | .231 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36.00 | 3.00 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
| Strikeout | 17.8% | 18.0% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 50 |
|---|
| Single | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 0.1072 | 246 |
|---|
| Double | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0507 | 3972 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0058 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.0718 | 232 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .353 | .351 | .303 | 0.3506 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | batter | 185 | .353 | .351 | 115 |
| 2025 | batter | 101 | .308 | .315 | 105 |
| 2024 | batter | 280 | .304 | .316 | 106 |
| 2024 |
| MIL |
| 88 |
| 241 |
| 30 |
| 54 |
| 11 |
| 37 |
| 27 |
| 73 |
| .224 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
