MLB · Second Baseman · Arizona Diamondbacks
6' 0", 210 lbs · age 32 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
Batting average
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 0.0565 | 137 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ARI | 99 | 400 | 57 | 103 | 18 | 60 | 31 | 65 | .258 |
| 2025 | ARI | 126 | 480 | 87 | 136 | 28 | 72 | 64 | 83 | .283 |
| Strikeout | 14.9% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 50 |
|---|
| Single | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 0.1239 | 246 |
|---|
| Double | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.0520 | 3972 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0072 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.0748 | 232 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .326 | .314 | .303 | 0.3144 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | batter | 436 | .326 | .314 | 103 |
| 2025 | batter | 550 | .378 | .358 | 120 |
| 2024 | batter | 576 | .388 | .369 | 124 |
| 2024 |
| ARI |
| 136 |
| 504 |
| 93 |
| 147 |
| 36 |
| 95 |
| 65 |
| 106 |
| .292 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
