MLB · Second Baseman · San Francisco Giants
5' 10", 186 lbs · age 29 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
Batting average
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 0.0494 | 137 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SF | 97 | 386 | 48 | 125 | 4 | 37 | 25 | 18 | .324 |
| 2025 | SD | 154 | 620 | 66 | 181 | 8 | 61 | 34 | 21 | .292 |
| Strikeout | 4.3% | 6.8% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 50 |
|---|
| Single | 22.0% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 0.1683 | 246 |
|---|
| Double | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.0527 | 3972 |
|---|
| Triple | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0141 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 0.0355 | 232 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .343 | .320 | .303 | 0.3200 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | batter | 419 | .343 | .320 | 105 |
| 2025 | batter | 663 | .312 | .305 | 102 |
| 2024 | batter | 667 | .321 | .314 | 105 |
| 2024 |
| SD |
| 148 |
| 628 |
| 81 |
| 195 |
| 4 |
| 45 |
| 23 |
| 28 |
| .311 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
