MLB · Relief Pitcher · Texas Rangers
6' 2", 190 lbs · age 26 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
ERA
WHIP
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.0570 | 162 |
| season | team | g | gs | ip | h | er | bb | k | era | whip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TEX | 38 | 0 | 34.7 | 36 | 22 | 10 | 35 | 5.71 | 1.33 |
| 2025 | TEX | 33 | 0 | 41.7 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 1.51 | 0.96 |
| Strikeout | 23.3% | 23.4% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 83 |
|---|
| Single | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 0.1248 | 510 |
|---|
| Double | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0513 | 1194 |
|---|
| Triple | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0058 | 4400 |
|---|
| Home run | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0589 | 647 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .318 | .298 | .315 | 0.2978 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | pitcher | 150 | .318 | .298 | 102 |
| 2025 | pitcher | 159 | .251 | .288 | 104 |
| 2024 | pitcher | 77 | .312 | .300 | 99 |
| 2024 |
| TEX |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 17.3 |
| 18 |
| 15 |
| 4 |
| 14 |
| 7.79 |
| 1.27 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
