MLB · Second Baseman · New York Yankees
5' 11", 184 lbs · age 28 · profile line from ESPN, best-effort
Rolling form against the season-to-date baseline, game by game. Computed with the same windowed primitives the models backtest with, gates included: the shaded band is where the window had no real sample yet, so no value is drawn there rather than a guess.
Batting average
Each outcome is fit as logit P = μ + βbatter + πpitcher across every plate appearance in the season, so hitter and pitcher skill are solved together rather than one being assumed. The adjusted column is this player against a league-average opponent; the run value is that rate priced by its wOBA weight (a walk is worth .690 runs, a home run 2.015), and those values sum to the adjusted wOBA above.
| Outcome | Actual | Adjusted | League | Run value | Regressed, PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk / HBP | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 0.0690 | 137 |
| season | team | g | ab | r | h | hr | rbi | bb | k | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NYY | 97 | 342 | 51 | 77 | 16 | 43 | 37 | 113 | .225 |
| 2025 | NYY | 130 | 462 | 75 | 112 | 31 | 80 | 58 | 148 | .242 |
| Strikeout | 29.6% | 27.7% | 22.2% | 0.0000 | 50 |
|---|
| Single | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 0.1125 | 246 |
|---|
| Double | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0506 | 3972 |
|---|
| Triple | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0062 | 922 |
|---|
| Home run | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.0754 | 232 |
|---|
| Adjusted wOBA | .307 | .314 | .303 | 0.3137 |
|---|
Regressed is how many plate appearances of league-average performance are blended in before a rate is believed — estimated from the spread of the league itself, not chosen. Strikeout rate separates hitters quickly and is barely touched; doubles are mostly noise and are pulled hard toward average. It is why a hot 30-PA cameo does not top this list.
The opponent effect is usually small over a full season, and that is a finding rather than a shortcoming: individual pitchers differ enormously (wOBA allowed spans roughly .263 to .342), but across hundreds of plate appearances almost everyone faces a near-representative sample. The adjustment moves part-time players far more than regulars.
| Season | Role | PA | Raw | Adjusted | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | batter | 382 | .307 | .314 | 103 |
| 2025 | batter | 529 | .346 | .353 | 118 |
| 2024 | batter | 616 | .325 | .323 | 108 |
| 2024 |
| NYY |
| 145 |
| 553 |
| 74 |
| 141 |
| 24 |
| 72 |
| 53 |
| 150 |
| .255 |
Aggregated from the per-game rows, so a season total always equals the sum of the games behind it. Seasons before the coverage window are absent rather than partial.
